Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore RavensWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread
M&T Bank Stadium · Ravens at homeAFC North division game
The ratings project Baltimore Ravens 23, Cleveland Browns 20 (BAL -3.0) and give the Ravens a 59% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.
Browns vs. Ravens prediction: score, spread and over/under
Projected scoreThrill 30
Cleveland Browns
205-4 · No. 26 in the ratings
Baltimore Ravens
234-5 · No. 19 in the ratings
CLE 41%Win probability59% BAL
| vs. marketPrediction vs. the market | Model | Market | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BAL -3.0 | — | — |
| Total | 42.9 | — | — |
| Win prob.probability | BAL 59% | — | — |
| Moneyline | — | — | |
No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work
Tale of the tape season to date
| Stat | CLE | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-4 | 4-5 |
| Division | 3rd, AFC N | 4th, AFC N |
| Rating | -3.526 | -2.019 |
| Adj Off | 19.829 | 21.922 |
| Adj Def | 23.217 | 23.921 |
| Points per game | 17.929 | 21.022 |
| Points allowed per game | 21.812 | 26.225 |
| Playoff odds | 22% | 8% |
Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.
Browns vs. Ravens matchup stats season to date
When the Browns have the ball
| Stat | CLEoff | BALdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 5.921 | 6.725 |
| Yards per rush | 3.926 | 3.74 |
| Starting field position | Own 2928 | Own 3119 |
| EPA per play | -0.06625 | +0.02419 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.04125 | +0.00215 |
| Success rate | 42.0%23 | 44.7%22 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.02122 | +0.09620 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.22829 | -0.08518 |
| CPOE | -0.620 | 1.422 |
| Explosive play rate | 7.4%23 | 7.2%10 |
| Points per game | 17.929 | 26.225 |
| Points per drive | 1.5929 | 2.3118 |
| Red zone TD rate | — | 65.7%19 |
| 3rd down conversion | 34.2%29 | 39.0%15 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.3319 | 1.0024 |
| Sack rate | 10.1%32 | 4.9%20 |
| Penalties per game | 9.132 | 5.432 |
When the Ravens have the ball
| Stat | BALoff | CLEdef |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass attempt | 6.315 | 5.65 |
| Yards per rush | 4.87 | 4.828 |
| Starting field position | Own 3117 | Own 3123 |
| EPA per play | -0.01820 | -0.01911 |
| Adj. EPA per play | -0.02221 | +0.00618 |
| Success rate | 43.7%14 | 42.7%11 |
| Passing EPA per play | +0.03720 | -0.0109 |
| Rushing EPA per play | -0.08615 | -0.03229 |
| CPOE | 1.611 | -1.010 |
| Explosive play rate | 8.0%16 | 10.2%32 |
| Points per game | 21.022 | 21.812 |
| Points per drive | 2.2314 | 1.999 |
| Red zone TD rate | 64.7%13 | 55.6%9 |
| 3rd down conversion | 37.8%17 | 39.4%17 |
| Turnovers per game | 1.2214 | 1.2218 |
| Sack rate | 7.5%24 | 7.4%5 |
| Penalties per game | 8.226 | 6.128 |
Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.
Browns and Ravens recent results
Players to watch season totals
Cleveland Browns
- Deshaun WatsonQB · #4163/249, 1,806 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · #10116 car, 385 yds, 3 TD
- Harold Fannin Jr.TE · #4437 rec, 453 yds, 4 TD
- KC ConcepcionWR · #137 rec, 437 yds, 1 TD
Baltimore Ravens
- Tyler HuntleyQB · #576/110, 727 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
- Derrick HenryRB · #22175 car, 689 yds, 8 TD
- Zay FlowersWR · #443 rec, 614 yds, 3 TD
- Mark AndrewsTE · #8931 rec, 237 yds, 1 TD
Browns vs. Ravens: quick answers
- What is the predicted score of Browns vs. Ravens?
- The ratings project Cleveland Browns 20, Baltimore Ravens 23, 42.9 total points.
- Who is favored, the Browns or the Ravens?
- The ratings make the Ravens 3.0-point favorites with a 59% chance to win.
- When and where is Browns vs. Ravens?
- Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium, the Ravens' home field.
More Week 16 predictions
- Houston Texans vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
- Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
- Los Angeles Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Arizona Cardinals vs. New Orleans Saints
- Carolina Panthers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Los Angeles Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins
- New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Washington Commanders vs. Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans vs. Las Vegas Raiders
- San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Dallas Cowboys
- New York Giants vs. Detroit Lions
All Week 16 gamesCleveland BrownsBaltimore RavensWeek 6 meeting at CLE