PFR

Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore RavensWeek 16 Prediction, Odds and Spread

M&T Bank Stadium · Ravens at homeAFC North division game

The ratings project Baltimore Ravens 23, Cleveland Browns 20 (BAL -3.0) and give the Ravens a 59% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Browns vs. Ravens prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 30
Cleveland Browns

5-4 · No. 26 in the ratings

20
Baltimore Ravens

4-5 · No. 19 in the ratings

23
CLE 41%Win probability59% BAL
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadBAL -3.0——
Total42.9——
Win prob.BAL 59%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 16 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCLEBAL
Record5-44-5
Division3rd, AFC N4th, AFC N
Rating-3.526-2.019
Adj Off19.82921.922
Adj Def23.21723.921
Points per game17.92921.022
Points allowed per game21.81226.225
Playoff odds22%8%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Browns vs. Ravens matchup stats season to date

When the Browns have the ball

StatCLEoffBALdef
Yards per pass attempt5.9216.725
Yards per rush3.9263.74
Starting field positionOwn 2928Own 3119
EPA per play-0.06625+0.02419
Adj. EPA per play-0.04125+0.00215
Success rate42.0%2344.7%22
Passing EPA per play+0.02122+0.09620
Rushing EPA per play-0.22829-0.08518
CPOE-0.6201.422
Explosive play rate7.4%237.2%10
Points per game17.92926.225
Points per drive1.59292.3118
Red zone TD rate—65.7%19
3rd down conversion34.2%2939.0%15
Turnovers per game1.33191.0024
Sack rate10.1%324.9%20
Penalties per game9.1325.432

When the Ravens have the ball

StatBALoffCLEdef
Yards per pass attempt6.3155.65
Yards per rush4.874.828
Starting field positionOwn 3117Own 3123
EPA per play-0.01820-0.01911
Adj. EPA per play-0.02221+0.00618
Success rate43.7%1442.7%11
Passing EPA per play+0.03720-0.0109
Rushing EPA per play-0.08615-0.03229
CPOE1.611-1.010
Explosive play rate8.0%1610.2%32
Points per game21.02221.812
Points per drive2.23141.999
Red zone TD rate64.7%1355.6%9
3rd down conversion37.8%1739.4%17
Turnovers per game1.22141.2218
Sack rate7.5%247.4%5
Penalties per game8.2266.128

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Browns and Ravens recent results

Cleveland Browns

Wk 9@New Orleans SaintsL22-23OT
Wk 8@Pittsburgh SteelersL6-27
Wk 7@Tennessee TitansW27-24
Wk 6vsBaltimore RavensW13-10
Wk 5@New York JetsL12-17

Baltimore Ravens

Wk 9vsJacksonville JaguarsL10-33
Wk 8@Buffalo BillsL10-36
Wk 7vsCincinnati BengalsL13-35
Wk 6@Cleveland BrownsL10-13
Wk 5@Atlanta FalconsW30-23OT

Players to watch season totals

Cleveland Browns

  • Deshaun WatsonQB · #4163/249, 1,806 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT
  • Quinshon JudkinsRB · #10116 car, 385 yds, 3 TD
  • Harold Fannin Jr.TE · #4437 rec, 453 yds, 4 TD
  • KC ConcepcionWR · #137 rec, 437 yds, 1 TD

Baltimore Ravens

  • Tyler HuntleyQB · #576/110, 727 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Derrick HenryRB · #22175 car, 689 yds, 8 TD
  • Zay FlowersWR · #443 rec, 614 yds, 3 TD
  • Mark AndrewsTE · #8931 rec, 237 yds, 1 TD

Browns vs. Ravens: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Browns vs. Ravens?
The ratings project Cleveland Browns 20, Baltimore Ravens 23, 42.9 total points.
Who is favored, the Browns or the Ravens?
The ratings make the Ravens 3.0-point favorites with a 59% chance to win.
When and where is Browns vs. Ravens?
Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium, the Ravens' home field.

More Week 16 predictions

All Week 16 gamesCleveland BrownsBaltimore RavensWeek 6 meeting at CLE