PFR

Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay BuccaneersWeek 12 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Raymond James Stadium · Buccaneers at homeNFC South division game

The ratings project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26, Carolina Panthers 21 (TB -5.3) and give the Buccaneers a 66% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Panthers vs. Buccaneers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 48
Carolina Panthers

3-5 · No. 22 in the ratings

21
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3-6 · No. 16 in the ratings

26
CAR 34%Win probability66% TB
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadTB -5.3——
Total47.0——
Win prob.TB 66%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 12 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCARTB
Record3-53-6
Division1st, NFC S3rd, NFC S
Rating-2.322+1.616
Adj Off23.31622.817
Adj Def25.62921.28
Points per game24.91122.418
Points allowed per game27.42819.87
Playoff odds21%52%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Panthers vs. Buccaneers matchup stats season to date

When the Panthers have the ball

StatCARoffTBdef
Yards per pass attempt6.2176.012
Yards per rush4.4123.87
Starting field positionOwn 3115Own 3120
EPA per play+0.02613-0.1602
Adj. EPA per play+0.00314-0.0862
Success rate42.5%1940.3%3
Passing EPA per play+0.08317-0.1472
Rushing EPA per play-0.08414-0.1852
CPOE1.115-2.65
Explosive play rate8.7%136.5%3
Points per game24.91119.87
Points per drive2.39101.834
Red zone TD rate69.7%548.4%3
3rd down conversion37.7%1934.5%9
Turnovers per game1.25162.221
Sack rate7.1%234.9%21
Penalties per game8.8316.721

When the Buccaneers have the ball

StatTBoffCARdef
Yards per pass attempt4.8305.810
Yards per rush5.134.726
Starting field positionOwn 335Own 3224
EPA per play-0.10128+0.05023
Adj. EPA per play-0.04727+0.03225
Success rate41.1%2645.0%23
Passing EPA per play-0.16530+0.12623
Rushing EPA per play-0.0278-0.06624
CPOE-3.627-0.515
Explosive play rate8.6%146.5%4
Points per game22.41827.428
Points per drive2.04212.7031
Red zone TD rate50.0%29—
3rd down conversion36.3%2347.7%31
Turnovers per game1.67251.634
Sack rate8.6%293.6%32
Penalties per game7.0118.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Panthers and Buccaneers recent results

Carolina Panthers

Wk 9vsDenver BroncosL21-26
Wk 8@Green Bay PackersL19-27
Wk 7vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL13-43
Wk 6@Philadelphia EaglesW25-14
Wk 4vsDetroit LionsW32-26

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk 9@Chicago BearsL24-27
Wk 8vsAtlanta FalconsW16-0
Wk 7@Carolina PanthersW43-13
Wk 6vsPittsburgh SteelersL19-26OT
Wk 5@Dallas CowboysW24-16

Players to watch season totals

Carolina Panthers

  • Bryce YoungQB · #9186/308, 2,197 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT
  • Chuba HubbardRB · #30134 car, 619 yds, 5 TD
  • Tetairoa McMillanWR · #446 rec, 625 yds, 3 TD
  • Jalen CokerWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 3 TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Baker MayfieldQB · #686/142, 922 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT
  • Bucky IrvingRB · #7167 car, 825 yds, 7 TD
  • Emeka EgbukaWR · #231 rec, 278 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris Godwin Jr.WR · #1429 rec, 259 yds, 0 TD

Panthers vs. Buccaneers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Panthers vs. Buccaneers?
The ratings project Carolina Panthers 21, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26, 47.0 total points.
Who is favored, the Panthers or the Buccaneers?
The ratings make the Buccaneers 5.3-point favorites with a 66% chance to win.
When and where is Panthers vs. Buccaneers?
Mon, Nov 30 · 8:15 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium, the Buccaneers' home field.

More Week 12 predictions

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