PFR

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit LionsWeek 12 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Ford Field · Lions at homeNFC North division game

The ratings project Detroit Lions 25, Chicago Bears 24 (DET -1.0) and give the Lions a 53% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Bears vs. Lions prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 90
Chicago Bears

7-2 · No. 7 in the ratings

24
Detroit Lions

6-2 · No. 9 in the ratings

25
CHI 47%Win probability53% DET
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadDET -1.0——
Total49.2——
Win prob.DET 53%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 12 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCHIDET
Record7-26-2
Division1st, NFC N2nd, NFC N
Rating+3.27+2.89
Adj Off25.2625.35
Adj Def22.01122.615
Points per game26.8727.85
Points allowed per game20.4923.617
Playoff odds84%82%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Bears vs. Lions matchup stats season to date

When the Bears have the ball

StatCHIoffDETdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6126.116
Yards per rush4.4144.316
Starting field positionOwn 3111Own 282
EPA per play+0.03812+0.08630
Adj. EPA per play+0.02013+0.02422
Success rate47.1%744.4%20
Passing EPA per play+0.11213+0.17527
Rushing EPA per play-0.06211-0.11512
CPOE4.253.527
Explosive play rate9.1%99.5%29
Points per game26.8723.617
Points per drive2.29122.3320
Red zone TD rate58.7%2168.6%21
3rd down conversion45.3%444.4%27
Turnovers per game2.11301.0024
Sack rate5.4%137.1%8
Penalties per game8.0236.523

When the Lions have the ball

StatDEToffCHIdef
Yards per pass attempt6.9106.926
Yards per rush4.694.522
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 3225
EPA per play+0.1047-0.04310
Adj. EPA per play+0.0506-0.01910
Success rate48.8%340.8%4
Passing EPA per play+0.2374-0.0138
Rushing EPA per play-0.07712-0.09814
CPOE1.412-0.813
Explosive play rate10.4%39.0%22
Points per game27.8520.49
Points per drive2.7462.2316
Red zone TD rate64.1%1661.8%14
3rd down conversion37.2%2122.8%1
Turnovers per game0.6321.2218
Sack rate6.1%208.0%3
Penalties per game7.0117.415

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Bears and Lions recent results

Chicago Bears

Wk 9vsTampa Bay BuccaneersW27-24
Wk 8@Seattle SeahawksW34-17
Wk 7vsNew England PatriotsW30-24
Wk 6@Atlanta FalconsW31-23
Wk 5@Green Bay PackersL7-31

Detroit Lions

Wk 9@Miami DolphinsW19-9
Wk 8vsMinnesota VikingsW19-15
Wk 7vsGreen Bay PackersW20-17
Wk 5@Arizona CardinalsW45-21
Wk 4@Carolina PanthersL26-32

Players to watch season totals

Chicago Bears

  • Caleb WilliamsQB · #18134/195, 1,546 yds, 8 TD, 5 INT
  • D'Andre SwiftRB · #4155 car, 576 yds, 10 TD
  • Luther Burden IIIWR · #1049 rec, 644 yds, 4 TD
  • Colston LovelandTE · #8437 rec, 363 yds, 2 TD

Detroit Lions

  • Jared GoffQB · #16185/273, 2,134 yds, 15 TD, 2 INT
  • Jahmyr GibbsRB · #0177 car, 847 yds, 9 TD
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · #1461 rec, 657 yds, 5 TD
  • Sam LaPortaTE · #8735 rec, 399 yds, 3 TD

Bears vs. Lions: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Bears vs. Lions?
The ratings project Chicago Bears 24, Detroit Lions 25, 49.2 total points.
Who is favored, the Bears or the Lions?
The ratings make the Lions 1.0-point favorites with a 53% chance to win.
When and where is Bears vs. Lions?
Thu, Nov 26 · 1:00 PM ET at Ford Field, the Lions' home field.

More Week 12 predictions

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