PFR

New York Jets vs. Miami DolphinsWeek 12 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Hard Rock Stadium · Dolphins at homeAFC East division game

The ratings project Miami Dolphins 23, New York Jets 21 (MIA -2.0) and give the Dolphins a 56% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Jets vs. Dolphins prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 16
New York Jets

2-7 · No. 31 in the ratings

21
Miami Dolphins

1-7 · No. 29 in the ratings

23
NYJ 44%Win probability56% MIA
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadMIA -2.0——
Total43.0——
Win prob.MIA 56%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 12 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatNYJMIA
Record2-71-7
Division3rd, AFC E4th, AFC E
Rating-5.131-4.629
Adj Off20.32719.332
Adj Def25.42723.921
Points per game20.22515.831
Points allowed per game24.82025.024
Playoff odds0%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Jets vs. Dolphins matchup stats season to date

When the Jets have the ball

StatNYJoffMIAdef
Yards per pass attempt6.1187.332
Yards per rush4.3164.214
Starting field positionOwn 327Own 3731
EPA per play+0.00317+0.11132
Adj. EPA per play-0.02422+0.05231
Success rate44.6%1148.4%32
Passing EPA per play+0.09415+0.25531
Rushing EPA per play-0.13721-0.06922
CPOE4.2410.832
Explosive play rate9.3%78.8%19
Points per game20.22525.024
Points per drive2.02222.7432
Red zone TD rate50.0%2962.9%16
3rd down conversion35.4%2647.4%29
Turnovers per game0.7860.8829
Sack rate8.5%284.5%29
Penalties per game8.1257.316

When the Dolphins have the ball

StatMIAoffNYJdef
Yards per pass attempt5.7226.115
Yards per rush4.4134.317
Starting field positionOwn 2831Own 3117
EPA per play-0.06726+0.05825
Adj. EPA per play-0.04326+0.04327
Success rate39.2%2947.2%30
Passing EPA per play-0.01524+0.19530
Rushing EPA per play-0.14122-0.12210
CPOE-4.630-0.019
Explosive play rate8.0%178.3%16
Points per game15.83124.820
Points per drive1.70282.4525
Red zone TD rate54.2%2671.0%25
3rd down conversion41.6%1042.3%23
Turnovers per game1.25161.1122
Sack rate8.6%306.6%11
Penalties per game7.5195.631

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Jets and Dolphins recent results

New York Jets

Wk 9@Kansas City ChiefsL12-35
Wk 8vsLas Vegas RaidersL33-38
Wk 7vsMiami DolphinsL25-28
Wk 6@New England PatriotsL19-26
Wk 5vsCleveland BrownsW17-12

Miami Dolphins

Wk 9vsDetroit LionsL9-19
Wk 8vsNew England PatriotsL19-24
Wk 7@New York JetsW28-25
Wk 5vsCincinnati BengalsL24-31
Wk 4@Minnesota VikingsL10-15

Players to watch season totals

New York Jets

  • Geno SmithQB · #7183/271, 2,078 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT
  • Braelon AllenRB · #0120 car, 598 yds, 3 TD
  • Garrett WilsonWR · #543 rec, 527 yds, 3 TD
  • Kenyon SadiqTE · #1621 rec, 235 yds, 1 TD

Miami Dolphins

  • Malik WillisQB · #2121/208, 1,396 yds, 6 TD, 6 INT
  • Ollie Gordon IIRB · #0107 car, 463 yds, 4 TD
  • Malik WashingtonWR · #633 rec, 350 yds, 1 TD
  • Greg DulcichTE · #8524 rec, 270 yds, 0 TD

Jets vs. Dolphins: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Jets vs. Dolphins?
The ratings project New York Jets 21, Miami Dolphins 23, 43.0 total points.
Who is favored, the Jets or the Dolphins?
The ratings make the Dolphins 2.0-point favorites with a 56% chance to win.
When and where is Jets vs. Dolphins?
Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET at Hard Rock Stadium, the Dolphins' home field.

More Week 12 predictions

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