PFR

Atlanta Falcons vs. Minnesota VikingsWeek 12 Prediction, Odds and Spread

U.S. Bank Stadium · Vikings at home

The ratings project Minnesota Vikings 22, Atlanta Falcons 17 (MIN -5.8) and give the Vikings a 67% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Falcons vs. Vikings prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 32
Atlanta Falcons

3-6 · No. 20 in the ratings

17
Minnesota Vikings

6-2 · No. 13 in the ratings

22
ATL 33%Win probability67% MIN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadMIN -5.8——
Total38.9——
Win prob.MIN 67%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 12 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatATLMIN
Record3-66-2
Division4th, NFC S3rd, NFC N
Rating-2.120+2.213
Adj Off21.62420.826
Adj Def23.82018.61
Points per game20.92318.327
Points allowed per game24.82014.51
Playoff odds13%83%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Falcons vs. Vikings matchup stats season to date

When the Falcons have the ball

StatATLoffMINdef
Yards per pass attempt6.1194.92
Yards per rush4.944.421
Starting field positionOwn 2832Own 3011
EPA per play-0.06124-0.1681
Adj. EPA per play-0.03124-0.0861
Success rate43.6%1536.7%1
Passing EPA per play-0.10328-0.1831
Rushing EPA per play-0.0085-0.1498
CPOE-6.532-6.81
Explosive play rate8.6%158.0%12
Points per game20.92314.51
Points per drive2.5481.471
Red zone TD rate62.5%1942.3%1
3rd down conversion34.9%2731.2%3
Turnovers per game1.78271.634
Sack rate5.2%1210.3%1
Penalties per game6.788.010

When the Vikings have the ball

StatMINoffATLdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2276.114
Yards per rush4.3154.623
Starting field positionOwn 334Own 3429
EPA per play-0.15131+0.00014
Adj. EPA per play-0.07731+0.00215
Success rate37.1%3044.4%21
Passing EPA per play-0.11729+0.05315
Rushing EPA per play-0.20327-0.08220
CPOE-2.9263.425
Explosive play rate7.6%199.2%23
Points per game18.32724.820
Points per drive1.57302.1613
Red zone TD rate52.6%2764.9%17
3rd down conversion33.3%3042.6%24
Turnovers per game1.0081.2218
Sack rate8.0%265.5%18
Penalties per game5.417.219

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Falcons and Vikings recent results

Atlanta Falcons

Wk 9NCincinnati BengalsL17-34
Wk 8@Tampa Bay BuccaneersL0-16
Wk 7vsSan Francisco 49ersW29-20
Wk 6vsChicago BearsL23-31
Wk 5vsBaltimore RavensL23-30OT

Minnesota Vikings

Wk 9vsBuffalo BillsL6-23
Wk 8@Detroit LionsL15-19
Wk 7vsIndianapolis ColtsW16-10
Wk 5@New Orleans SaintsW23-13
Wk 4vsMiami DolphinsW15-10

Players to watch season totals

Atlanta Falcons

  • Michael Penix Jr.QB · #9124/199, 1,444 yds, 10 TD, 6 INT
  • Bijan RobinsonRB · #7169 car, 880 yds, 5 TD
  • Drake LondonWR · #544 rec, 692 yds, 1 TD
  • Kyle PittsTE · #825 rec, 220 yds, 4 TD

Minnesota Vikings

  • Kyler MurrayQB · #1100/154, 1,022 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT
  • Aaron JonesRB · #33115 car, 474 yds, 2 TD
  • T.J. HockensonTE · #8735 rec, 328 yds, 3 TD
  • Justin JeffersonWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 4 TD

Falcons vs. Vikings: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Falcons vs. Vikings?
The ratings project Atlanta Falcons 17, Minnesota Vikings 22, 38.9 total points.
Who is favored, the Falcons or the Vikings?
The ratings make the Vikings 5.8-point favorites with a 67% chance to win.
When and where is Falcons vs. Vikings?
Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET at U.S. Bank Stadium, the Vikings' home field.

More Week 12 predictions

All Week 12 gamesAtlanta FalconsMinnesota Vikings