PFR

Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston TexansWeek 12 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Reliant Stadium · Texans at home

The ratings project Houston Texans 27, Baltimore Ravens 21 (HOU -6.1) and give the Texans a 68% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Ravens vs. Texans prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 40
Baltimore Ravens

4-5 · No. 19 in the ratings

21
Houston Texans

3-5 · No. 10 in the ratings

27
BAL 32%Win probability68% HOU
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadHOU -6.1——
Total47.5——
Win prob.HOU 68%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 12 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatBALHOU
Record4-53-5
Division4th, AFC N2nd, AFC S
Rating-2.019+2.610
Adj Off21.92225.17
Adj Def23.92122.514
Points per game21.02226.19
Points allowed per game26.22524.018
Playoff odds8%28%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Ravens vs. Texans matchup stats season to date

When the Ravens have the ball

StatBALoffHOUdef
Yards per pass attempt6.3156.217
Yards per rush4.874.011
Starting field positionOwn 3117Own 3116
EPA per play-0.01820+0.02018
Adj. EPA per play-0.02221-0.00314
Success rate43.7%1441.3%6
Passing EPA per play+0.03720+0.08418
Rushing EPA per play-0.08615-0.08419
CPOE1.611-1.78
Explosive play rate8.0%169.2%25
Points per game21.02224.018
Points per drive2.23142.2315
Red zone TD rate64.7%1375.0%30
3rd down conversion37.8%1738.7%13
Turnovers per game1.22141.0024
Sack rate7.5%248.8%2
Penalties per game8.2267.514

When the Texans have the ball

StatHOUoffBALdef
Yards per pass attempt7.266.725
Yards per rush3.7303.74
Starting field positionOwn 2927Own 3119
EPA per play+0.0668+0.02419
Adj. EPA per play+0.0428+0.00215
Success rate43.8%1344.7%22
Passing EPA per play+0.1897+0.09620
Rushing EPA per play-0.16125-0.08518
CPOE1.6101.422
Explosive play rate8.8%117.2%10
Points per game26.1926.225
Points per drive2.4692.3118
Red zone TD rate62.9%1865.7%19
3rd down conversion39.8%1339.0%15
Turnovers per game0.5011.0024
Sack rate4.8%104.9%20
Penalties per game8.0235.432

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Ravens and Texans recent results

Baltimore Ravens

Wk 9vsJacksonville JaguarsL10-33
Wk 8@Buffalo BillsL10-36
Wk 7vsCincinnati BengalsL13-35
Wk 6@Cleveland BrownsL10-13
Wk 5@Atlanta FalconsW30-23OT

Houston Texans

Wk 9@Los Angeles ChargersW44-22
Wk 7vsNew York GiantsL21-27OT
Wk 6NJacksonville JaguarsW34-31
Wk 5@Tennessee TitansW26-3
Wk 4vsDallas CowboysL30-34

Players to watch season totals

Baltimore Ravens

  • Tyler HuntleyQB · #576/110, 727 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Derrick HenryRB · #22175 car, 689 yds, 8 TD
  • Zay FlowersWR · #443 rec, 614 yds, 3 TD
  • Mark AndrewsTE · #8931 rec, 237 yds, 1 TD

Houston Texans

  • C.J. StroudQB · #7181/282, 2,251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT
  • Woody MarksRB · #495 car, 341 yds, 2 TD
  • Dalton SchultzTE · #8635 rec, 364 yds, 0 TD
  • Nico CollinsWR · #1228 rec, 384 yds, 4 TD

Ravens vs. Texans: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Ravens vs. Texans?
The ratings project Baltimore Ravens 21, Houston Texans 27, 47.5 total points.
Who is favored, the Ravens or the Texans?
The ratings make the Texans 6.1-point favorites with a 68% chance to win.
When and where is Ravens vs. Texans?
Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET at Reliant Stadium, the Texans' home field.

More Week 12 predictions

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