PFR

New Orleans Saints vs. Cincinnati BengalsWeek 12 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Paycor Stadium · Bengals at home

The ratings project Cincinnati Bengals 30, New Orleans Saints 22 (CIN -8.0) and give the Bengals a 73% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Saints vs. Bengals prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 37
New Orleans Saints

3-5 · No. 24 in the ratings

22
Cincinnati Bengals

6-2 · No. 6 in the ratings

30
NO 27%Win probability73% CIN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCIN -8.0——
Total51.3——
Win prob.CIN 73%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 12 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatNOCIN
Record3-56-2
Division2nd, NFC S2nd, AFC N
Rating-3.224+3.26
Adj Off22.41926.22
Adj Def25.62923.016
Points per game23.11530.02
Points allowed per game27.02721.914
Playoff odds15%95%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Saints vs. Bengals matchup stats season to date

When the Saints have the ball

StatNOoffCINdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6236.218
Yards per rush3.8285.231
Starting field positionOwn 3022Own 271
EPA per play-0.02822+0.00916
Adj. EPA per play-0.02823+0.01621
Success rate42.3%2145.0%24
Passing EPA per play+0.03221+0.03813
Rushing EPA per play-0.14123-0.04327
CPOE-0.219-0.118
Explosive play rate6.2%309.0%21
Points per game23.11521.914
Points per drive2.09202.1211
Red zone TD rate69.0%850.0%4
3rd down conversion43.5%747.5%30
Turnovers per game1.75261.634
Sack rate5.5%146.7%9
Penalties per game6.159.12

When the Bengals have the ball

StatCINoffNOdef
Yards per pass attempt7.356.724
Yards per rush4.0244.827
Starting field positionOwn 343Own 3328
EPA per play+0.1442+0.05624
Adj. EPA per play+0.0732+0.04528
Success rate50.8%247.1%29
Passing EPA per play+0.2622+0.11422
Rushing EPA per play-0.10117-0.03328
CPOE9.710.720
Explosive play rate8.8%129.3%27
Points per game30.0227.027
Points per drive2.8052.5328
Red zone TD rate71.8%462.5%15
3rd down conversion53.6%147.2%28
Turnovers per game1.13121.2517
Sack rate4.5%97.2%7
Penalties per game6.997.316

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Saints and Bengals recent results

New Orleans Saints

Wk 9vsCleveland BrownsW23-22OT
Wk 7NPittsburgh SteelersL10-16
Wk 6@New York GiantsW34-27
Wk 5vsMinnesota VikingsL13-23
Wk 4vsAtlanta FalconsL24-45

Cincinnati Bengals

Wk 9NAtlanta FalconsW34-17
Wk 8vsTennessee TitansW43-36OT
Wk 7@Baltimore RavensW35-13
Wk 5@Miami DolphinsW31-24
Wk 4vsJacksonville JaguarsL17-22

Players to watch season totals

New Orleans Saints

  • Tyler ShoughQB · #6204/308, 1,986 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT
  • Kendre MillerRB57 car, 159 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris OlaveWR · #1256 rec, 734 yds, 2 TD
  • Devaughn VeleWR · #1435 rec, 365 yds, 3 TD

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe BurrowQB · #9219/296, 2,386 yds, 23 TD, 6 INT
  • Chase BrownRB · #30103 car, 397 yds, 1 TD
  • Ja'Marr ChaseWR · #153 rec, 647 yds, 7 TD
  • Tee HigginsWR · #548 rec, 758 yds, 6 TD

Saints vs. Bengals: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Saints vs. Bengals?
The ratings project New Orleans Saints 22, Cincinnati Bengals 30, 51.3 total points.
Who is favored, the Saints or the Bengals?
The ratings make the Bengals 8.0-point favorites with a 73% chance to win.
When and where is Saints vs. Bengals?
Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET at Paycor Stadium, the Bengals' home field.

More Week 12 predictions

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