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New England Patriots vs. Los Angeles ChargersWeek 12 Prediction, Odds and Spread

SoFi Stadium · Chargers at home

The ratings project New England Patriots 25, Los Angeles Chargers 20 (NE -5.0) and give the Patriots a 65% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Patriots vs. Chargers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 36
New England Patriots

5-4 · No. 14 in the ratings

25
Los Angeles Chargers

0-8 · No. 30 in the ratings

20
NE 65%Win probability35% LAC
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadNE -5.0——
Total44.8——
Win prob.NE 65%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 12 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatNELAC
Record5-40-8
Division2nd, AFC E4th, AFC W
Rating+1.914-4.630
Adj Off24.2919.829
Adj Def22.31324.424
Points per game23.41415.132
Points allowed per game23.01527.428
Playoff odds68%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Patriots vs. Chargers matchup stats season to date

When the Patriots have the ball

StatNEoffLACdef
Yards per pass attempt7.447.231
Yards per rush4.5114.420
Starting field positionOwn 3023Own 3732
EPA per play+0.04010+0.00615
Adj. EPA per play+0.0309-0.01313
Success rate45.5%1044.0%18
Passing EPA per play+0.1619+0.07417
Rushing EPA per play-0.14924-0.07821
CPOE6.520.821
Explosive play rate9.8%59.2%26
Points per game23.41427.428
Points per drive2.10192.3623
Red zone TD rate69.4%660.0%11
3rd down conversion40.4%1134.3%8
Turnovers per game2.11301.5010
Sack rate5.7%194.7%24
Penalties per game7.3188.46

When the Chargers have the ball

StatLACoffNEdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2286.723
Yards per rush4.1213.98
Starting field positionOwn 2830Own 3013
EPA per play-0.22032+0.04221
Adj. EPA per play-0.09632+0.00919
Success rate36.2%3243.8%17
Passing EPA per play-0.18931+0.14424
Rushing EPA per play-0.26732-0.11811
CPOE-6.0315.130
Explosive play rate6.8%289.3%28
Points per game15.13223.015
Points per drive1.27322.3320
Red zone TD rate52.4%2861.1%13
3rd down conversion34.2%2838.0%11
Turnovers per game2.38320.8927
Sack rate9.8%317.3%6
Penalties per game8.3296.425

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Patriots and Chargers recent results

New England Patriots

Wk 9vsGreen Bay PackersL27-45
Wk 8@Miami DolphinsW24-19
Wk 7@Chicago BearsL24-30
Wk 6vsNew York JetsW26-19
Wk 5vsLas Vegas RaidersW45-17

Los Angeles Chargers

Wk 9vsHouston TexansL22-44
Wk 8@Los Angeles RamsL9-24
Wk 6@Kansas City ChiefsL6-22
Wk 5vsDenver BroncosL17-23
Wk 4@Seattle SeahawksL23-30

Players to watch season totals

New England Patriots

  • Drake MayeQB · #10178/272, 2,282 yds, 18 TD, 11 INT
  • Rhamondre StevensonRB · #38102 car, 399 yds, 2 TD
  • Hunter HenryTE · #8532 rec, 361 yds, 2 TD
  • DeMario DouglasWR · #331 rec, 434 yds, 4 TD

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Justin HerbertQB · #10144/235, 1,591 yds, 6 TD, 11 INT
  • Omarion HamptonRB · #8102 car, 369 yds, 3 TD
  • Tre HarrisWR · #921 rec, 262 yds, 0 TD
  • Oronde Gadsden IITE · #8619 rec, 172 yds, 1 TD

Patriots vs. Chargers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Patriots vs. Chargers?
The ratings project New England Patriots 25, Los Angeles Chargers 20, 44.8 total points.
Who is favored, the Patriots or the Chargers?
The ratings make the Patriots 5.0-point favorites with a 65% chance to win.
When and where is Patriots vs. Chargers?
Sun, Nov 29 · 8:20 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, the Chargers' home field.

More Week 12 predictions

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