PFR

Denver Broncos vs. Pittsburgh SteelersWeek 12 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Acrisure Stadium · Steelers at home

The ratings project Pittsburgh Steelers 21.4, Denver Broncos 20.7 (PIT -0.6) and give the Steelers a 52% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Broncos vs. Steelers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 78
Denver Broncos

7-2 · No. 11 in the ratings

20.7
Pittsburgh Steelers

6-2 · No. 15 in the ratings

21.4
DEN 48%Win probability52% PIT
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadPIT -0.6——
Total42.1——
Win prob.PIT 52%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 12 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatDENPIT
Record7-26-2
Division1st, AFC W1st, AFC N
Rating+2.511+1.615
Adj Off23.51522.618
Adj Def21.0720.95
Points per game22.02022.517
Points allowed per game20.71018.04
Playoff odds96%84%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Broncos vs. Steelers matchup stats season to date

When the Broncos have the ball

StatDENoffPITdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6245.88
Yards per rush3.9273.85
Starting field positionOwn 3019Own 309
EPA per play+0.01315-0.0686
Adj. EPA per play+0.02112-0.01811
Success rate40.5%2842.1%10
Passing EPA per play+0.08516-0.0177
Rushing EPA per play-0.09916-0.1676
CPOE-1.124-0.911
Explosive play rate6.5%298.2%14
Points per game22.02018.04
Points per drive2.01231.753
Red zone TD rate64.5%1450.0%4
3rd down conversion32.4%3234.3%7
Turnovers per game0.6731.5010
Sack rate3.2%37.8%4
Penalties per game7.7217.813

When the Steelers have the ball

StatPIToffDENdef
Yards per pass attempt5.4255.76
Yards per rush5.224.624
Starting field positionOwn 3118Own 284
EPA per play-0.01118-0.00913
Adj. EPA per play+0.00015-0.01712
Success rate42.8%1841.8%9
Passing EPA per play-0.07226+0.01310
Rushing EPA per play+0.1021-0.04726
CPOE-2.225-0.417
Explosive play rate8.9%108.0%13
Points per game22.51720.710
Points per drive2.16171.928
Red zone TD rate56.7%2455.6%9
3rd down conversion37.9%1641.2%21
Turnovers per game1.13121.4414
Sack rate6.8%216.4%12
Penalties per game5.928.19

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Broncos and Steelers recent results

Denver Broncos

Wk 9@Carolina PanthersW26-21
Wk 8vsKansas City ChiefsW28-24
Wk 7@Arizona CardinalsW30-16
Wk 6vsSeattle SeahawksW17-14OT
Wk 5@Los Angeles ChargersW23-17

Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk 8vsCleveland BrownsW27-6
Wk 7NNew Orleans SaintsW16-10
Wk 6@Tampa Bay BuccaneersW26-19OT
Wk 5vsIndianapolis ColtsW34-22
Wk 4@Cleveland BrownsL24-27

Players to watch season totals

Denver Broncos

  • Bo NixQB · #10174/287, 1,730 yds, 11 TD, 4 INT
  • J.K. DobbinsRB · #2798 car, 324 yds, 3 TD
  • Jaylen WaddleWR · #1730 rec, 337 yds, 2 TD
  • Courtland SuttonWR · #1425 rec, 266 yds, 2 TD

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Aaron RodgersQB · #8175/288, 1,871 yds, 13 TD, 6 INT
  • Jaylen WarrenRB · #30119 car, 704 yds, 2 TD
  • DK MetcalfWR · #433 rec, 378 yds, 1 TD
  • Germie BernardWR · #1732 rec, 284 yds, 1 TD

Broncos vs. Steelers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Broncos vs. Steelers?
The ratings project Denver Broncos 20.7, Pittsburgh Steelers 21.4, 42.1 total points.
Who is favored, the Broncos or the Steelers?
The ratings make the Steelers 0.6-point favorites with a 52% chance to win.
When and where is Broncos vs. Steelers?
Fri, Nov 27 · 3:00 PM ET at Acrisure Stadium, the Steelers' home field.

More Week 12 predictions

All Week 12 gamesDenver BroncosPittsburgh Steelers