PFR

Tennessee Titans vs. Dallas CowboysWeek 11 Prediction, Odds and Spread

AT&T Stadium · Cowboys at home

The ratings project Dallas Cowboys 28, Tennessee Titans 21 (DAL -6.8) and give the Cowboys a 70% chance to win. The market line is DAL -7.5 with a total of 51.5, so the model is 0.7 points toward the Titans.

Titans vs. Cowboys prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 16
Tennessee Titans

1-7 · No. 32 in the ratings

21
Dallas Cowboys

4-5 · No. 17 in the ratings

28
TEN 30%Win probability70% DAL
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadDAL -6.8DAL -7.5TEN +0.7
Total48.651.5Under 2.9
Win prob.DAL 70%DAL 78%-8 pts
Moneyline—TEN +340 · DAL -440

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 11 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatTENDAL
Record1-74-5
Division4th, AFC S2nd, NFC E
Rating-5.932-0.617
Adj Off19.53124.58
Adj Def25.42725.125
Points per game18.02827.36
Points allowed per game24.92326.225
Playoff odds0%26%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Titans vs. Cowboys matchup stats season to date

When the Titans have the ball

StatTENoffDALdef
Yards per pass attempt5.3266.621
Yards per rush4.2195.230
Starting field positionOwn 3021Own 295
EPA per play-0.07627+0.10131
Adj. EPA per play-0.05828+0.05732
Success rate42.0%2246.3%27
Passing EPA per play-0.06025+0.18729
Rushing EPA per play-0.10318-0.02830
CPOE-0.9222.423
Explosive play rate7.0%278.9%20
Points per game18.02826.225
Points per drive1.76272.4826
Red zone TD rate56.0%2569.2%23
3rd down conversion36.2%2448.3%32
Turnovers per game1.50220.8927
Sack rate4.4%74.7%26
Penalties per game6.679.41

When the Cowboys have the ball

StatDALoffTENdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6117.129
Yards per rush4.0234.319
Starting field positionOwn 3210Own 3115
EPA per play+0.1126+0.05926
Adj. EPA per play+0.0515+0.04729
Success rate47.1%846.3%28
Passing EPA per play+0.1898+0.17426
Rushing EPA per play-0.02710-0.09815
CPOE0.1178.131
Explosive play rate7.4%259.2%24
Points per game27.3624.923
Points per drive2.8642.4927
Red zone TD rate68.3%965.6%18
3rd down conversion45.3%543.6%25
Turnovers per game1.0081.3816
Sack rate3.5%56.3%13
Penalties per game8.2268.46

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Titans and Cowboys recent results

Tennessee Titans

Wk 8@Cincinnati BengalsL36-43OT
Wk 7vsCleveland BrownsL24-27
Wk 6@Indianapolis ColtsW26-20
Wk 5vsHouston TexansL3-26
Wk 4@Baltimore RavensL18-24

Dallas Cowboys

Wk 9@Indianapolis ColtsW27-23
Wk 8vsArizona CardinalsL30-33OT
Wk 7@Philadelphia EaglesW38-21
Wk 6@Green Bay PackersL13-23
Wk 5vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL16-24

Players to watch season totals

Tennessee Titans

  • Cam WardQB · #1155/248, 1,483 yds, 6 TD, 5 INT
  • Tony PollardRB · #20133 car, 595 yds, 6 TD
  • Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · #435 rec, 262 yds, 3 TD
  • Carnell TateWR · #1434 rec, 413 yds, 1 TD

Dallas Cowboys

  • Dak PrescottQB · #4218/336, 2,381 yds, 16 TD, 5 INT
  • Javonte WilliamsRB · #33154 car, 629 yds, 9 TD
  • CeeDee LambWR · #8870 rec, 904 yds, 7 TD
  • George PickensWR · #339 rec, 533 yds, 2 TD

Titans vs. Cowboys: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Titans vs. Cowboys?
The ratings project Tennessee Titans 21, Dallas Cowboys 28, 48.6 total points.
Who is favored, the Titans or the Cowboys?
The market favors the Cowboys by 7.5 points (DAL -7.5). The ratings make the Cowboys 6.8-point favorites with a 70% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Titans vs. Cowboys?
The market total is 51.5; the ratings project 48.6 points.
When and where is Titans vs. Cowboys?
Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET at AT&T Stadium, the Cowboys' home field.

More Week 11 predictions

All Week 11 gamesTennessee TitansDallas Cowboys