PFR

Baltimore Ravens vs. Carolina PanthersWeek 11 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Bank of America Stadium · Panthers at home

The ratings project Carolina Panthers 25, Baltimore Ravens 24 (CAR -1.2) and give the Panthers a 54% chance to win. The market line is CAR -1.5 with a total of 44.5, within half a point of the model.

Ravens vs. Panthers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 49
Baltimore Ravens

4-5 · No. 19 in the ratings

24
Carolina Panthers

3-5 · No. 22 in the ratings

25
BAL 46%Win probability54% CAR
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCAR -1.2CAR -1.5BAL +0.3
Total48.844.5Over 4.3
Win prob.CAR 54%CAR 53%+1 pts
Moneyline—BAL +105 · CAR -125

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 11 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatBALCAR
Record4-53-5
Division4th, AFC N1st, NFC S
Rating-2.019-2.322
Adj Off21.92223.316
Adj Def23.92125.629
Points per game21.02224.911
Points allowed per game26.22527.428
Playoff odds8%21%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Ravens vs. Panthers matchup stats season to date

When the Ravens have the ball

StatBALoffCARdef
Yards per pass attempt6.3155.810
Yards per rush4.874.726
Starting field positionOwn 3117Own 3224
EPA per play-0.01820+0.05023
Adj. EPA per play-0.02221+0.03225
Success rate43.7%1445.0%23
Passing EPA per play+0.03720+0.12623
Rushing EPA per play-0.08615-0.06624
CPOE1.611-0.515
Explosive play rate8.0%166.5%4
Points per game21.02227.428
Points per drive2.23142.7031
Red zone TD rate64.7%13—
3rd down conversion37.8%1747.7%31
Turnovers per game1.22141.634
Sack rate7.5%243.6%32
Penalties per game8.2268.83

When the Panthers have the ball

StatCARoffBALdef
Yards per pass attempt6.2176.725
Yards per rush4.4123.74
Starting field positionOwn 3115Own 3119
EPA per play+0.02613+0.02419
Adj. EPA per play+0.00314+0.00215
Success rate42.5%1944.7%22
Passing EPA per play+0.08317+0.09620
Rushing EPA per play-0.08414-0.08518
CPOE1.1151.422
Explosive play rate8.7%137.2%10
Points per game24.91126.225
Points per drive2.39102.3118
Red zone TD rate69.7%565.7%19
3rd down conversion37.7%1939.0%15
Turnovers per game1.25161.0024
Sack rate7.1%234.9%20
Penalties per game8.8315.432

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Ravens and Panthers recent results

Baltimore Ravens

Wk 9vsJacksonville JaguarsL10-33
Wk 8@Buffalo BillsL10-36
Wk 7vsCincinnati BengalsL13-35
Wk 6@Cleveland BrownsL10-13
Wk 5@Atlanta FalconsW30-23OT

Carolina Panthers

Wk 9vsDenver BroncosL21-26
Wk 8@Green Bay PackersL19-27
Wk 7vsTampa Bay BuccaneersL13-43
Wk 6@Philadelphia EaglesW25-14
Wk 4vsDetroit LionsW32-26

Players to watch season totals

Baltimore Ravens

  • Tyler HuntleyQB · #576/110, 727 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Derrick HenryRB · #22175 car, 689 yds, 8 TD
  • Zay FlowersWR · #443 rec, 614 yds, 3 TD
  • Mark AndrewsTE · #8931 rec, 237 yds, 1 TD

Carolina Panthers

  • Bryce YoungQB · #9186/308, 2,197 yds, 16 TD, 6 INT
  • Chuba HubbardRB · #30134 car, 619 yds, 5 TD
  • Tetairoa McMillanWR · #446 rec, 625 yds, 3 TD
  • Jalen CokerWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 3 TD

Ravens vs. Panthers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Ravens vs. Panthers?
The ratings project Baltimore Ravens 24, Carolina Panthers 25, 48.8 total points.
Who is favored, the Ravens or the Panthers?
The market favors the Panthers by 1.5 points (CAR -1.5). The ratings make the Panthers 1.2-point favorites with a 54% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Ravens vs. Panthers?
The market total is 44.5; the ratings project 48.8 points.
When and where is Ravens vs. Panthers?
Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET at Bank of America Stadium, the Panthers' home field.

More Week 11 predictions

All Week 11 gamesBaltimore RavensCarolina Panthers