PFR

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia EaglesWeek 11 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Lincoln Financial Field · Eagles at home

The ratings project Pittsburgh Steelers 22, Philadelphia Eagles 19 (PIT -3.4) and give the Steelers a 60% chance to win. The market line is PIT -4.5 with a total of 38.5, so the model is 1.1 points toward the Eagles.

Steelers vs. Eagles prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 46
Pittsburgh Steelers

6-2 · No. 15 in the ratings

22
Philadelphia Eagles

2-7 · No. 25 in the ratings

19
PIT 60%Win probability40% PHI
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadPIT -3.4PIT -4.5PHI +1.1
Total40.838.5Over 2.3
Win prob.PIT 60%PIT 64%-3 pts
Moneyline—PIT -198 · PHI +164

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 11 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatPITPHI
Record6-22-7
Division1st, AFC N4th, NFC E
Rating+1.615-3.325
Adj Off22.61819.928
Adj Def20.9523.319
Points per game22.51716.430
Points allowed per game18.0424.619
Playoff odds84%1%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Steelers vs. Eagles matchup stats season to date

When the Steelers have the ball

StatPIToffPHIdef
Yards per pass attempt5.4256.420
Yards per rush5.224.215
Starting field positionOwn 3118Own 3014
EPA per play-0.01118+0.07727
Adj. EPA per play+0.00015+0.02824
Success rate42.8%1843.8%16
Passing EPA per play-0.07226+0.15125
Rushing EPA per play+0.1021-0.02331
CPOE-2.225-0.912
Explosive play rate8.9%108.4%17
Points per game22.51724.619
Points per drive2.16172.2817
Red zone TD rate56.7%2460.5%12
3rd down conversion37.9%1640.6%19
Turnovers per game1.13120.4432
Sack rate6.8%214.5%30
Penalties per game5.928.75

When the Eagles have the ball

StatPHIoffPITdef
Yards per pass attempt4.7325.88
Yards per rush3.8293.85
Starting field positionOwn 3025Own 309
EPA per play-0.11329-0.0686
Adj. EPA per play-0.05929-0.01811
Success rate36.3%3142.1%10
Passing EPA per play-0.08727-0.0177
Rushing EPA per play-0.16226-0.1676
CPOE-3.628-0.911
Explosive play rate4.6%328.2%14
Points per game16.43018.04
Points per drive1.53311.753
Red zone TD rate75.0%350.0%4
3rd down conversion35.9%2534.3%7
Turnovers per game1.11111.5010
Sack rate8.1%277.8%4
Penalties per game7.1137.813

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Steelers and Eagles recent results

Pittsburgh Steelers

Wk 8vsCleveland BrownsW27-6
Wk 7NNew Orleans SaintsW16-10
Wk 6@Tampa Bay BuccaneersW26-19OT
Wk 5vsIndianapolis ColtsW34-22
Wk 4@Cleveland BrownsL24-27

Philadelphia Eagles

Wk 9vsNew York GiantsL11-19
Wk 8@Washington CommandersL10-27
Wk 7vsDallas CowboysL21-38
Wk 6vsCarolina PanthersL14-25
Wk 5NJacksonville JaguarsL17-19

Players to watch season totals

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Aaron RodgersQB · #8175/288, 1,871 yds, 13 TD, 6 INT
  • Jaylen WarrenRB · #30119 car, 704 yds, 2 TD
  • DK MetcalfWR · #433 rec, 378 yds, 1 TD
  • Germie BernardWR · #1732 rec, 284 yds, 1 TD

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Joe Milton IIIQB · #1418/34, 169 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
  • Saquon BarkleyRB · #2669 car, 296 yds, 3 TD
  • Makai LemonWR · #937 rec, 312 yds, 1 TD
  • Dallas GoedertTE · #8831 rec, 308 yds, 2 TD

Steelers vs. Eagles: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Steelers vs. Eagles?
The ratings project Pittsburgh Steelers 22, Philadelphia Eagles 19, 40.8 total points.
Who is favored, the Steelers or the Eagles?
The market favors the Steelers by 4.5 points (PIT -4.5). The ratings make the Steelers 3.4-point favorites with a 60% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Steelers vs. Eagles?
The market total is 38.5; the ratings project 40.8 points.
When and where is Steelers vs. Eagles?
Sun, Nov 22 · 4:25 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field, the Eagles' home field.

More Week 11 predictions

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