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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York GiantsWeek 11 Prediction, Odds and Spread

MetLife Stadium · Giants at home

The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 26, New York Giants 18 (JAX -7.3) and give the Jaguars a 71% chance to win. The market line is JAX -6.0 with a total of 44.5, so the model is 1.3 points toward the Jaguars.

Jaguars vs. Giants prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 59
Jacksonville Jaguars

6-2 · No. 1 in the ratings

26
New York Giants

5-3-1 · No. 18 in the ratings

18
JAX 71%Win probability29% NYG
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadJAX -7.3JAX -6.0JAX +1.3
Total44.144.5Under 0.4
Win prob.JAX 71%JAX 69%+2 pts
Moneyline—JAX -258 · NYG +210

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 11 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatJAXNYG
Record6-25-3-1
Division1st, AFC S1st, NFC E
Rating+7.41-1.418
Adj Off26.2221.823
Adj Def18.8223.217
Points per game28.6422.616
Points allowed per game15.1221.812
Playoff odds99%63%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Jaguars vs. Giants matchup stats season to date

When the Jaguars have the ball

StatJAXoffNYGdef
Yards per pass attempt7.625.54
Yards per rush4.2184.725
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 283
EPA per play+0.1135-0.01012
Adj. EPA per play+0.0564+0.00517
Success rate46.3%943.0%13
Passing EPA per play+0.2315+0.05114
Rushing EPA per play-0.0279-0.10813
CPOE2.47-2.36
Explosive play rate9.5%67.9%11
Points per game28.6421.812
Points per drive2.7271.9910
Red zone TD rate75.8%282.1%31
3rd down conversion46.4%338.8%14
Turnovers per game0.7541.4414
Sack rate4.9%114.8%22
Penalties per game7.3177.219

When the Giants have the ball

StatNYGoffJAXdef
Yards per pass attempt6.2166.622
Yards per rush4.1223.86
Starting field positionOwn 3020Own 298
EPA per play+0.02614-0.1093
Adj. EPA per play-0.00917-0.0663
Success rate41.9%2541.1%5
Passing EPA per play+0.12312-0.0673
Rushing EPA per play-0.11619-0.1843
CPOE-1.1234.328
Explosive play rate7.9%186.8%6
Points per game22.61615.12
Points per drive2.01242.1612
Red zone TD rate66.7%1150.0%4
3rd down conversion39.7%1434.0%6
Turnovers per game1.44201.883
Sack rate7.8%255.1%19
Penalties per game7.2148.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Jaguars and Giants recent results

Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk 9@Baltimore RavensW33-10
Wk 8vsIndianapolis ColtsW42-7
Wk 6NHouston TexansL31-34
Wk 5NPhiladelphia EaglesW19-17
Wk 4@Cincinnati BengalsW22-17

New York Giants

Wk 10vsWashington CommandersL21-24
Wk 9@Philadelphia EaglesW19-11
Wk 7@Houston TexansW27-21OT
Wk 6vsNew Orleans SaintsL27-34
Wk 5@Washington CommandersT27-27OT

Players to watch season totals

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Trevor LawrenceQB · #16146/224, 1,932 yds, 18 TD, 4 INT
  • Bhayshul TutenRB · #33122 car, 521 yds, 4 TD
  • Brenton StrangeTE · #8530 rec, 356 yds, 1 TD
  • Parker WashingtonWR · #1129 rec, 493 yds, 5 TD

New York Giants

  • J.J. McCarthyQB · #1866/104, 915 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
  • Cam SkatteboRB · #44116 car, 496 yds, 4 TD
  • Malik NabersWR · #158 rec, 692 yds, 2 TD
  • Isaiah LikelyTE · #955 rec, 575 yds, 7 TD

Jaguars vs. Giants: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Jaguars vs. Giants?
The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 26, New York Giants 18, 44.1 total points.
Who is favored, the Jaguars or the Giants?
The market favors the Jaguars by 6.0 points (JAX -6.0). The ratings make the Jaguars 7.3-point favorites with a 71% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Jaguars vs. Giants?
The market total is 44.5; the ratings project 44.1 points.
When and where is Jaguars vs. Giants?
Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium, the Giants' home field.

More Week 11 predictions

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