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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Washington CommandersWeek 11 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Northwest Stadium · Commanders at home

The ratings project Cincinnati Bengals 27, Washington Commanders 23 (CIN -4.0) and give the Bengals a 62% chance to win. The market line is CIN -3.5 with a total of 51.5, so the model is 0.5 points toward the Bengals.

Bengals vs. Commanders prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 53
Cincinnati Bengals

6-2 · No. 6 in the ratings

27
Washington Commanders

3-5-1 · No. 21 in the ratings

23
CIN 62%Win probability38% WAS
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCIN -4.0CIN -3.5CIN +0.5
Total49.551.5Under 2.0
Win prob.CIN 62%CIN 64%-3 pts
Moneyline—CIN -205 · WAS +170

Line as of Fri, Nov 13, 10:09 AM ET. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 11 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatCINWAS
Record6-23-5-1
Division2nd, AFC N3rd, NFC E
Rating+3.26-2.221
Adj Off26.2222.020
Adj Def23.01624.223
Points per game30.0221.821
Points allowed per game21.91424.820
Playoff odds95%13%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Bengals vs. Commanders matchup stats season to date

When the Bengals have the ball

StatCINoffWASdef
Yards per pass attempt7.356.319
Yards per rush4.0244.112
Starting field positionOwn 343Own 3121
EPA per play+0.1442+0.03720
Adj. EPA per play+0.0732+0.02623
Success rate50.8%246.0%26
Passing EPA per play+0.2622+0.09019
Rushing EPA per play-0.10117-0.06325
CPOE9.712.624
Explosive play rate8.8%127.0%9
Points per game30.0224.820
Points per drive2.8052.3219
Red zone TD rate71.8%474.3%29
3rd down conversion53.6%139.3%16
Turnovers per game1.13121.568
Sack rate4.5%94.6%27
Penalties per game6.996.622

When the Commanders have the ball

StatWASoffCINdef
Yards per pass attempt5.9206.218
Yards per rush4.5105.231
Starting field positionOwn 3024Own 271
EPA per play-0.01219+0.00916
Adj. EPA per play-0.01318+0.01621
Success rate43.0%1745.0%24
Passing EPA per play+0.05119+0.03813
Rushing EPA per play-0.12620-0.04327
CPOE2.09-0.118
Explosive play rate7.5%229.0%21
Points per game21.82121.914
Points per drive1.90262.1211
Red zone TD rate66.7%1150.0%4
3rd down conversion33.3%3047.5%30
Turnovers per game0.7861.634
Sack rate5.6%156.7%9
Penalties per game7.2149.12

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Bengals and Commanders recent results

Cincinnati Bengals

Wk 9NAtlanta FalconsW34-17
Wk 8vsTennessee TitansW43-36OT
Wk 7@Baltimore RavensW35-13
Wk 5@Miami DolphinsW31-24
Wk 4vsJacksonville JaguarsL17-22

Washington Commanders

Wk 10@New York GiantsW24-21
Wk 9vsLos Angeles RamsL13-20
Wk 8vsPhiladelphia EaglesW27-10
Wk 6@San Francisco 49ersL17-23
Wk 5vsNew York GiantsT27-27OT

Players to watch season totals

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Joe BurrowQB · #9219/296, 2,386 yds, 23 TD, 6 INT
  • Chase BrownRB · #30103 car, 397 yds, 1 TD
  • Ja'Marr ChaseWR · #153 rec, 647 yds, 7 TD
  • Tee HigginsWR · #548 rec, 758 yds, 6 TD

Washington Commanders

  • Jayden DanielsQB · #5138/213, 1,499 yds, 10 TD, 2 INT
  • Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · #2267 car, 239 yds, 2 TD
  • Stefon DiggsWR · #336 rec, 386 yds, 6 TD
  • Antonio WilliamsWR · #1428 rec, 326 yds, 2 TD

Bengals vs. Commanders: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Bengals vs. Commanders?
The ratings project Cincinnati Bengals 27, Washington Commanders 23, 49.5 total points.
Who is favored, the Bengals or the Commanders?
The market favors the Bengals by 3.5 points (CIN -3.5). The ratings make the Bengals 4.0-point favorites with a 62% chance to win.
What is the over/under for Bengals vs. Commanders?
The market total is 51.5; the ratings project 49.5 points.
When and where is Bengals vs. Commanders?
Mon, Nov 23 · 8:15 PM ET at Northwest Stadium, the Commanders' home field.

More Week 11 predictions

All Week 11 gamesCincinnati BengalsWashington Commanders