PFR

Minnesota Vikings vs. New York JetsWeek 17 Prediction, Odds and Spread

MetLife Stadium · Jets at home

The ratings project Minnesota Vikings 23, New York Jets 17 (MIN -5.7) and give the Vikings a 67% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Vikings vs. Jets prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 22
Minnesota Vikings

6-2 · No. 13 in the ratings

23
New York Jets

2-7 · No. 31 in the ratings

17
MIN 67%Win probability33% NYJ
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadMIN -5.7——
Total39.2——
Win prob.MIN 67%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 17 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatMINNYJ
Record6-22-7
Division3rd, NFC N3rd, AFC E
Rating+2.213-5.131
Adj Off20.82620.327
Adj Def18.6125.427
Points per game18.32720.225
Points allowed per game14.5124.820
Playoff odds83%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Vikings vs. Jets matchup stats season to date

When the Vikings have the ball

StatMINoffNYJdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2276.115
Yards per rush4.3154.317
Starting field positionOwn 334Own 3117
EPA per play-0.15131+0.05825
Adj. EPA per play-0.07731+0.04327
Success rate37.1%3047.2%30
Passing EPA per play-0.11729+0.19530
Rushing EPA per play-0.20327-0.12210
CPOE-2.926-0.019
Explosive play rate7.6%198.3%16
Points per game18.32724.820
Points per drive1.57302.4525
Red zone TD rate52.6%2771.0%25
3rd down conversion33.3%3042.3%23
Turnovers per game1.0081.1122
Sack rate8.0%266.6%11
Penalties per game5.415.631

When the Jets have the ball

StatNYJoffMINdef
Yards per pass attempt6.1184.92
Yards per rush4.3164.421
Starting field positionOwn 327Own 3011
EPA per play+0.00317-0.1681
Adj. EPA per play-0.02422-0.0861
Success rate44.6%1136.7%1
Passing EPA per play+0.09415-0.1831
Rushing EPA per play-0.13721-0.1498
CPOE4.24-6.81
Explosive play rate9.3%78.0%12
Points per game20.22514.51
Points per drive2.02221.471
Red zone TD rate50.0%2942.3%1
3rd down conversion35.4%2631.2%3
Turnovers per game0.7861.634
Sack rate8.5%2810.3%1
Penalties per game8.1258.010

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Vikings and Jets recent results

Minnesota Vikings

Wk 9vsBuffalo BillsL6-23
Wk 8@Detroit LionsL15-19
Wk 7vsIndianapolis ColtsW16-10
Wk 5@New Orleans SaintsW23-13
Wk 4vsMiami DolphinsW15-10

New York Jets

Wk 9@Kansas City ChiefsL12-35
Wk 8vsLas Vegas RaidersL33-38
Wk 7vsMiami DolphinsL25-28
Wk 6@New England PatriotsL19-26
Wk 5vsCleveland BrownsW17-12

Players to watch season totals

Minnesota Vikings

  • Kyler MurrayQB · #1100/154, 1,022 yds, 5 TD, 3 INT
  • Aaron JonesRB · #33115 car, 474 yds, 2 TD
  • T.J. HockensonTE · #8735 rec, 328 yds, 3 TD
  • Justin JeffersonWR · #1831 rec, 393 yds, 4 TD

New York Jets

  • Geno SmithQB · #7183/271, 2,078 yds, 12 TD, 3 INT
  • Braelon AllenRB · #0120 car, 598 yds, 3 TD
  • Garrett WilsonWR · #543 rec, 527 yds, 3 TD
  • Kenyon SadiqTE · #1621 rec, 235 yds, 1 TD

Vikings vs. Jets: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Vikings vs. Jets?
The ratings project Minnesota Vikings 23, New York Jets 17, 39.2 total points.
Who is favored, the Vikings or the Jets?
The ratings make the Vikings 5.7-point favorites with a 67% chance to win.
When and where is Vikings vs. Jets?
Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium, the Jets' home field.

More Week 17 predictions

All Week 17 gamesMinnesota VikingsNew York Jets