PFR

Indianapolis Colts vs. Cleveland BrownsWeek 17 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Huntington Bank Field · Browns at home

The ratings project Cleveland Browns 23, Indianapolis Colts 22 (CLE -1.1) and give the Browns a 53% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Colts vs. Browns prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 40
Indianapolis Colts

2-7 · No. 23 in the ratings

22
Cleveland Browns

5-4 · No. 26 in the ratings

23
IND 47%Win probability53% CLE
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadCLE -1.1——
Total44.2——
Win prob.CLE 53%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 17 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatINDCLE
Record2-75-4
Division3rd, AFC S3rd, AFC N
Rating-3.023-3.526
Adj Off22.02019.829
Adj Def25.12523.217
Points per game20.42417.929
Points allowed per game27.73021.812
Playoff odds0%22%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Colts vs. Browns matchup stats season to date

When the Colts have the ball

StatINDoffCLEdef
Yards per pass attempt4.8315.65
Yards per rush4.3174.828
Starting field positionOwn 3116Own 3123
EPA per play-0.11830-0.01911
Adj. EPA per play-0.06130+0.00618
Success rate42.3%2042.7%11
Passing EPA per play-0.18932-0.0109
Rushing EPA per play-0.0136-0.03229
CPOE-4.129-1.010
Explosive play rate7.6%2010.2%32
Points per game20.42421.812
Points per drive2.15181.999
Red zone TD rate63.0%1755.6%9
3rd down conversion36.9%2239.4%17
Turnovers per game1.89291.2218
Sack rate7.1%227.4%5
Penalties per game6.036.128

When the Browns have the ball

StatCLEoffINDdef
Yards per pass attempt5.9217.230
Yards per rush3.9265.229
Starting field positionOwn 2928Own 3226
EPA per play-0.06625+0.05022
Adj. EPA per play-0.04125+0.01420
Success rate42.0%2342.8%12
Passing EPA per play+0.02122+0.10121
Rushing EPA per play-0.22829-0.02032
CPOE-0.620-2.37
Explosive play rate7.4%239.9%30
Points per game17.92927.730
Points per drive1.59292.4024
Red zone TD rate—73.5%28
3rd down conversion34.2%2932.4%5
Turnovers per game1.33190.6731
Sack rate10.1%325.9%16
Penalties per game9.1327.812

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Colts and Browns recent results

Indianapolis Colts

Wk 9vsDallas CowboysL23-27
Wk 8@Jacksonville JaguarsL7-42
Wk 7@Minnesota VikingsL10-16
Wk 6vsTennessee TitansL20-26
Wk 5@Pittsburgh SteelersL22-34

Cleveland Browns

Wk 9@New Orleans SaintsL22-23OT
Wk 8@Pittsburgh SteelersL6-27
Wk 7@Tennessee TitansW27-24
Wk 6vsBaltimore RavensW13-10
Wk 5@New York JetsL12-17

Players to watch season totals

Indianapolis Colts

  • Daniel JonesQB · #17182/302, 1,722 yds, 6 TD, 10 INT
  • Jonathan TaylorRB · #28161 car, 656 yds, 8 TD
  • Keenan AllenWR40 rec, 351 yds, 1 TD
  • Tyler WarrenTE · #8438 rec, 275 yds, 2 TD

Cleveland Browns

  • Deshaun WatsonQB · #4163/249, 1,806 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT
  • Quinshon JudkinsRB · #10116 car, 385 yds, 3 TD
  • Harold Fannin Jr.TE · #4437 rec, 453 yds, 4 TD
  • KC ConcepcionWR · #137 rec, 437 yds, 1 TD

Colts vs. Browns: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Colts vs. Browns?
The ratings project Indianapolis Colts 22, Cleveland Browns 23, 44.2 total points.
Who is favored, the Colts or the Browns?
The ratings make the Browns 1.1-point favorites with a 53% chance to win.
When and where is Colts vs. Browns?
Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET at Huntington Bank Field, the Browns' home field.

More Week 17 predictions

All Week 17 gamesIndianapolis ColtsCleveland Browns