PFR

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles ChargersWeek 17 Prediction, Odds and Spread

SoFi Stadium · Chargers at homeAFC West division game

The ratings project Kansas City Chiefs 25, Los Angeles Chargers 19 (KC -6.1) and give the Chiefs a 68% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Chiefs vs. Chargers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 35
Kansas City Chiefs

6-2 · No. 8 in the ratings

25
Los Angeles Chargers

0-8 · No. 30 in the ratings

19
KC 68%Win probability32% LAC
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadKC -6.1——
Total43.1——
Win prob.KC 68%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 17 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatKCLAC
Record6-20-8
Division2nd, AFC W4th, AFC W
Rating+3.08-4.630
Adj Off23.91119.829
Adj Def20.9524.424
Points per game25.31015.132
Points allowed per game17.9327.428
Playoff odds93%0%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Chiefs vs. Chargers matchup stats season to date

When the Chiefs have the ball

StatKCoffLACdef
Yards per pass attempt7.277.231
Yards per rush5.314.420
Starting field positionOwn 3112Own 3732
EPA per play+0.1194+0.00615
Adj. EPA per play+0.0497-0.01313
Success rate48.3%444.0%18
Passing EPA per play+0.14911+0.07417
Rushing EPA per play+0.0732-0.07821
CPOE2.280.821
Explosive play rate10.1%49.2%26
Points per game25.31027.428
Points per drive2.35112.3623
Red zone TD rate67.7%1060.0%11
3rd down conversion41.7%934.3%8
Turnovers per game0.7541.5010
Sack rate3.6%64.7%24
Penalties per game6.998.46

When the Chargers have the ball

StatLACoffKCdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2285.811
Yards per rush4.1213.73
Starting field positionOwn 2830Own 3012
EPA per play-0.22032-0.0538
Adj. EPA per play-0.09632-0.0229
Success rate36.2%3241.3%7
Passing EPA per play-0.18931+0.02311
Rushing EPA per play-0.26732-0.1755
CPOE-6.031-4.33
Explosive play rate6.8%286.6%5
Points per game15.13217.93
Points per drive1.27321.887
Red zone TD rate52.4%2850.0%4
3rd down conversion34.2%2836.7%10
Turnovers per game2.38321.5010
Sack rate9.8%314.3%31
Penalties per game8.3296.523

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Chiefs and Chargers recent results

Kansas City Chiefs

Wk 9vsNew York JetsW35-12
Wk 8@Denver BroncosL24-28
Wk 7@Seattle SeahawksL3-20
Wk 6vsLos Angeles ChargersW22-6
Wk 4@Las Vegas RaidersW30-27

Los Angeles Chargers

Wk 9vsHouston TexansL22-44
Wk 8@Los Angeles RamsL9-24
Wk 6@Kansas City ChiefsL6-22
Wk 5vsDenver BroncosL17-23
Wk 4@Seattle SeahawksL23-30

Players to watch season totals

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Patrick MahomesQB · #15177/263, 2,037 yds, 14 TD, 4 INT
  • Kenneth Walker IIIRB · #9159 car, 872 yds, 7 TD
  • Travis KelceTE · #8733 rec, 482 yds, 2 TD
  • Xavier WorthyWR · #133 rec, 278 yds, 1 TD

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Justin HerbertQB · #10144/235, 1,591 yds, 6 TD, 11 INT
  • Omarion HamptonRB · #8102 car, 369 yds, 3 TD
  • Tre HarrisWR · #921 rec, 262 yds, 0 TD
  • Oronde Gadsden IITE · #8619 rec, 172 yds, 1 TD

Chiefs vs. Chargers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Chiefs vs. Chargers?
The ratings project Kansas City Chiefs 25, Los Angeles Chargers 19, 43.1 total points.
Who is favored, the Chiefs or the Chargers?
The ratings make the Chiefs 6.1-point favorites with a 68% chance to win.
When and where is Chiefs vs. Chargers?
Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, the Chargers' home field.

More Week 17 predictions

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