What is the predicted score of Saints vs. Falcons?

The ratings project New Orleans Saints 23, Atlanta Falcons 25, 47.5 total points.

Who is favored, the Saints or the Falcons?

The ratings make the Falcons 2.6-point favorites with a 58% chance to win.

When and where is Saints vs. Falcons?

Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Falcons' home field.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta FalconsWeek 17 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ETMercedes-Benz Stadium · Falcons at homeNFC South division game

The ratings project Atlanta Falcons 25, New Orleans Saints 23 (ATL -2.6) and give the Falcons a 58% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Saints vs. Falcons prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 37

New Orleans Saints

3-5 · No. 24 in the ratings

Atlanta Falcons

3-6 · No. 20 in the ratings

NO 42%Win probability58% ATL

vs. marketPrediction vs. the market	Model	Market	Diff
Spread	ATL -2.6	—	—
Total	47.5	—	—
Win prob.probability	ATL 58%	—	—
Moneyline	—	—

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 17 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

Stat	NO	ATL
Record	3-5	3-6
Division	2nd, NFC S	4th, NFC S
Rating	-3.224	-2.120
Adj Off	22.419	21.624
Adj Def	25.629	23.820
Points per game	23.115	20.923
Points allowed per game	27.027	24.820
Playoff odds	15%	13%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Saints vs. Falcons matchup stats season to date

When the Saints have the ball

Stat	NOoff	ATLdef
Yards per pass attempt	5.623	6.114
Yards per rush	3.828	4.623
Starting field position	Own 3022	Own 3429
EPA per play	-0.02822	+0.00014
Adj. EPA per play	-0.02823	+0.00215
Success rate	42.3%21	44.4%21
Passing EPA per play	+0.03221	+0.05315
Rushing EPA per play	-0.14123	-0.08220
CPOE	-0.219	3.425
Explosive play rate	6.2%30	9.2%23
Points per game	23.115	24.820
Points per drive	2.0920	2.1613
Red zone TD rate	69.0%8	64.9%17
3rd down conversion	43.5%7	42.6%24
Turnovers per game	1.7526	1.2218
Sack rate	5.5%14	5.5%18
Penalties per game	6.15	7.219

When the Falcons have the ball

Stat	ATLoff	NOdef
Yards per pass attempt	6.119	6.724
Yards per rush	4.94	4.827
Starting field position	Own 2832	Own 3328
EPA per play	-0.06124	+0.05624
Adj. EPA per play	-0.03124	+0.04528
Success rate	43.6%15	47.1%29
Passing EPA per play	-0.10328	+0.11422
Rushing EPA per play	-0.0085	-0.03328
CPOE	-6.532	0.720
Explosive play rate	8.6%15	9.3%27
Points per game	20.923	27.027
Points per drive	2.548	2.5328
Red zone TD rate	62.5%19	62.5%15
3rd down conversion	34.9%27	47.2%28
Turnovers per game	1.7827	1.2517
Sack rate	5.2%12	7.2%7
Penalties per game	6.78	7.316

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Saints and Falcons recent results