PFR

Houston Texans vs. Green Bay PackersWeek 17 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Lambeau Field · Packers at home

The ratings project Green Bay Packers 24, Houston Texans 23 (GB -1.3) and give the Packers a 54% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Texans vs. Packers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 81
Houston Texans

3-5 · No. 10 in the ratings

23
Green Bay Packers

6-3 · No. 12 in the ratings

24
HOU 46%Win probability54% GB
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadGB -1.3——
Total47.2——
Win prob.GB 54%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 17 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatHOUGB
Record3-56-3
Division2nd, AFC S4th, NFC N
Rating+2.610+2.412
Adj Off25.1723.911
Adj Def22.51421.69
Points per game26.1924.012
Points allowed per game24.01821.211
Playoff odds28%63%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Texans vs. Packers matchup stats season to date

When the Texans have the ball

StatHOUoffGBdef
Yards per pass attempt7.265.43
Yards per rush3.7304.113
Starting field positionOwn 2927Own 296
EPA per play+0.0668-0.0509
Adj. EPA per play+0.0428-0.0327
Success rate43.8%1344.4%19
Passing EPA per play+0.1897-0.0275
Rushing EPA per play-0.16125-0.09216
CPOE1.610-1.29
Explosive play rate8.8%117.0%8
Points per game26.1921.211
Points per drive2.4691.866
Red zone TD rate62.9%1868.6%21
3rd down conversion39.8%1341.7%22
Turnovers per game0.5012.112
Sack rate4.8%106.6%10
Penalties per game8.0236.128

When the Packers have the ball

StatGBoffHOUdef
Yards per pass attempt7.086.217
Yards per rush3.2314.011
Starting field positionOwn 326Own 3116
EPA per play+0.0459+0.02018
Adj. EPA per play+0.02910-0.00314
Success rate40.8%2741.3%6
Passing EPA per play+0.2016+0.08418
Rushing EPA per play-0.25531-0.08419
CPOE1.113-1.78
Explosive play rate9.2%89.2%25
Points per game24.01224.018
Points per drive2.19152.2315
Red zone TD rate58.1%2275.0%30
3rd down conversion37.8%1838.7%13
Turnovers per game1.22141.0024
Sack rate4.4%88.8%2
Penalties per game8.2267.514

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Texans and Packers recent results

Houston Texans

Wk 9@Los Angeles ChargersW44-22
Wk 7vsNew York GiantsL21-27OT
Wk 6NJacksonville JaguarsW34-31
Wk 5@Tennessee TitansW26-3
Wk 4vsDallas CowboysL30-34

Green Bay Packers

Wk 9@New England PatriotsW45-27
Wk 8vsCarolina PanthersW27-19
Wk 7@Detroit LionsL17-20
Wk 6vsDallas CowboysW23-13
Wk 5vsChicago BearsW31-7

Players to watch season totals

Houston Texans

  • C.J. StroudQB · #7181/282, 2,251 yds, 16 TD, 2 INT
  • Woody MarksRB · #495 car, 341 yds, 2 TD
  • Dalton SchultzTE · #8635 rec, 364 yds, 0 TD
  • Nico CollinsWR · #1228 rec, 384 yds, 4 TD

Green Bay Packers

  • Jordan LoveQB · #10215/341, 2,618 yds, 19 TD, 6 INT
  • MarShawn LloydRB · #3257 car, 149 yds, 2 TD
  • Matthew GoldenWR · #053 rec, 783 yds, 5 TD
  • Christian WatsonWR · #949 rec, 879 yds, 7 TD

Texans vs. Packers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Texans vs. Packers?
The ratings project Houston Texans 23, Green Bay Packers 24, 47.2 total points.
Who is favored, the Texans or the Packers?
The ratings make the Packers 1.3-point favorites with a 54% chance to win.
When and where is Texans vs. Packers?
Mon, Jan 4 · 8:15 PM ET at Lambeau Field, the Packers' home field.

More Week 17 predictions

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