PFR

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles RamsWeek 13 Prediction, Odds and Spread

SoFi Stadium · Rams at home

The ratings project Los Angeles Rams 23, Kansas City Chiefs 21 (LA -1.9) and give the Rams a 56% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Chiefs vs. Rams prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 84
Kansas City Chiefs

6-2 · No. 8 in the ratings

21
Los Angeles Rams

5-4 · No. 5 in the ratings

23
KC 44%Win probability56% LA
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadLA -1.9——
Total43.5——
Win prob.LA 56%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 13 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatKCLA
Record6-25-4
Division2nd, AFC W3rd, NFC W
Rating+3.08+3.45
Adj Off23.91124.010
Adj Def20.9520.64
Points per game25.31023.813
Points allowed per game17.9320.18
Playoff odds93%37%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Chiefs vs. Rams matchup stats season to date

When the Chiefs have the ball

StatKCoffLAdef
Yards per pass attempt7.275.87
Yards per rush5.314.010
Starting field positionOwn 3112Own 3430
EPA per play+0.1194-0.0854
Adj. EPA per play+0.0497-0.0595
Success rate48.3%441.4%8
Passing EPA per play+0.14911-0.0266
Rushing EPA per play+0.0732-0.1784
CPOE2.28-5.82
Explosive play rate10.1%46.8%7
Points per game25.31020.18
Points per drive2.35111.835
Red zone TD rate67.7%1046.9%2
3rd down conversion41.7%931.6%4
Turnovers per game0.7541.1122
Sack rate3.6%64.6%28
Penalties per game6.995.930

When the Rams have the ball

StatLAoffKCdef
Yards per pass attempt6.4145.811
Yards per rush4.963.73
Starting field positionOwn 2929Own 3012
EPA per play+0.03811-0.0538
Adj. EPA per play+0.02211-0.0229
Success rate47.9%541.3%7
Passing EPA per play+0.07518+0.02311
Rushing EPA per play-0.0227-0.1755
CPOE-0.018-4.33
Explosive play rate7.6%216.6%5
Points per game23.81317.93
Points per drive2.25131.887
Red zone TD rate64.3%1550.0%4
3rd down conversion40.0%1236.7%10
Turnovers per game1.56241.5010
Sack rate3.4%44.3%31
Penalties per game7.9226.523

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Chiefs and Rams recent results

Kansas City Chiefs

Wk 9vsNew York JetsW35-12
Wk 8@Denver BroncosL24-28
Wk 7@Seattle SeahawksL3-20
Wk 6vsLos Angeles ChargersW22-6
Wk 4@Las Vegas RaidersW30-27

Los Angeles Rams

Wk 9@Washington CommandersW20-13
Wk 8vsLos Angeles ChargersW24-9
Wk 7@Las Vegas RaidersW35-21
Wk 6vsArizona CardinalsL16-18
Wk 5vsBuffalo BillsL34-37OT

Players to watch season totals

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Patrick MahomesQB · #15177/263, 2,037 yds, 14 TD, 4 INT
  • Kenneth Walker IIIRB · #9159 car, 872 yds, 7 TD
  • Travis KelceTE · #8733 rec, 482 yds, 2 TD
  • Xavier WorthyWR · #133 rec, 278 yds, 1 TD

Los Angeles Rams

  • Matthew StaffordQB · #9230/346, 2,374 yds, 16 TD, 9 INT
  • Kyren WilliamsRB · #23127 car, 593 yds, 6 TD
  • Puka NacuaWR · #1270 rec, 715 yds, 4 TD
  • Davante AdamsWR · #1730 rec, 480 yds, 4 TD

Chiefs vs. Rams: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Chiefs vs. Rams?
The ratings project Kansas City Chiefs 21, Los Angeles Rams 23, 43.5 total points.
Who is favored, the Chiefs or the Rams?
The ratings make the Rams 1.9-point favorites with a 56% chance to win.
When and where is Chiefs vs. Rams?
Thu, Dec 3 · 8:15 PM ET at SoFi Stadium, the Rams' home field.

More Week 13 predictions

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