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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Chicago BearsWeek 13 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Soldier Field · Bears at home

The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 25, Chicago Bears 22 (JAX -2.7) and give the Jaguars a 58% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Jaguars vs. Bears prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 91
Jacksonville Jaguars

6-2 · No. 1 in the ratings

25
Chicago Bears

7-2 · No. 7 in the ratings

22
JAX 58%Win probability42% CHI
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadJAX -2.7——
Total46.3——
Win prob.JAX 58%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 13 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatJAXCHI
Record6-27-2
Division1st, AFC S1st, NFC N
Rating+7.41+3.27
Adj Off26.2225.26
Adj Def18.8222.011
Points per game28.6426.87
Points allowed per game15.1220.49
Playoff odds99%84%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Jaguars vs. Bears matchup stats season to date

When the Jaguars have the ball

StatJAXoffCHIdef
Yards per pass attempt7.626.926
Yards per rush4.2184.522
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 3225
EPA per play+0.1135-0.04310
Adj. EPA per play+0.0564-0.01910
Success rate46.3%940.8%4
Passing EPA per play+0.2315-0.0138
Rushing EPA per play-0.0279-0.09814
CPOE2.47-0.813
Explosive play rate9.5%69.0%22
Points per game28.6420.49
Points per drive2.7272.2316
Red zone TD rate75.8%261.8%14
3rd down conversion46.4%322.8%1
Turnovers per game0.7541.2218
Sack rate4.9%118.0%3
Penalties per game7.3177.415

When the Bears have the ball

StatCHIoffJAXdef
Yards per pass attempt6.6126.622
Yards per rush4.4143.86
Starting field positionOwn 3111Own 298
EPA per play+0.03812-0.1093
Adj. EPA per play+0.02013-0.0663
Success rate47.1%741.1%5
Passing EPA per play+0.11213-0.0673
Rushing EPA per play-0.06211-0.1843
CPOE4.254.328
Explosive play rate9.1%96.8%6
Points per game26.8715.12
Points per drive2.29122.1612
Red zone TD rate58.7%2150.0%4
3rd down conversion45.3%434.0%6
Turnovers per game2.11301.883
Sack rate5.4%135.1%19
Penalties per game8.0238.83

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Jaguars and Bears recent results

Jacksonville Jaguars

Wk 9@Baltimore RavensW33-10
Wk 8vsIndianapolis ColtsW42-7
Wk 6NHouston TexansL31-34
Wk 5NPhiladelphia EaglesW19-17
Wk 4@Cincinnati BengalsW22-17

Chicago Bears

Wk 9vsTampa Bay BuccaneersW27-24
Wk 8@Seattle SeahawksW34-17
Wk 7vsNew England PatriotsW30-24
Wk 6@Atlanta FalconsW31-23
Wk 5@Green Bay PackersL7-31

Players to watch season totals

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Trevor LawrenceQB · #16146/224, 1,932 yds, 18 TD, 4 INT
  • Bhayshul TutenRB · #33122 car, 521 yds, 4 TD
  • Brenton StrangeTE · #8530 rec, 356 yds, 1 TD
  • Parker WashingtonWR · #1129 rec, 493 yds, 5 TD

Chicago Bears

  • Caleb WilliamsQB · #18134/195, 1,546 yds, 8 TD, 5 INT
  • D'Andre SwiftRB · #4155 car, 576 yds, 10 TD
  • Luther Burden IIIWR · #1049 rec, 644 yds, 4 TD
  • Colston LovelandTE · #8437 rec, 363 yds, 2 TD

Jaguars vs. Bears: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Jaguars vs. Bears?
The ratings project Jacksonville Jaguars 25, Chicago Bears 22, 46.3 total points.
Who is favored, the Jaguars or the Bears?
The ratings make the Jaguars 2.7-point favorites with a 58% chance to win.
When and where is Jaguars vs. Bears?
Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET at Soldier Field, the Bears' home field.

More Week 13 predictions

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