PFR

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Tampa Bay BuccaneersWeek 13 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Raymond James Stadium · Buccaneers at home

The ratings project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25, Los Angeles Chargers 17 (TB -7.7) and give the Buccaneers a 72% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Chargers vs. Buccaneers prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 26
Los Angeles Chargers

0-8 · No. 30 in the ratings

17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3-6 · No. 16 in the ratings

25
LAC 28%Win probability72% TB
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadTB -7.7——
Total42.3——
Win prob.TB 72%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 13 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatLACTB
Record0-83-6
Division4th, AFC W3rd, NFC S
Rating-4.630+1.616
Adj Off19.82922.817
Adj Def24.42421.28
Points per game15.13222.418
Points allowed per game27.42819.87
Playoff odds0%52%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Chargers vs. Buccaneers matchup stats season to date

When the Chargers have the ball

StatLACoffTBdef
Yards per pass attempt5.2286.012
Yards per rush4.1213.87
Starting field positionOwn 2830Own 3120
EPA per play-0.22032-0.1602
Adj. EPA per play-0.09632-0.0862
Success rate36.2%3240.3%3
Passing EPA per play-0.18931-0.1472
Rushing EPA per play-0.26732-0.1852
CPOE-6.031-2.65
Explosive play rate6.8%286.5%3
Points per game15.13219.87
Points per drive1.27321.834
Red zone TD rate52.4%2848.4%3
3rd down conversion34.2%2834.5%9
Turnovers per game2.38322.221
Sack rate9.8%314.9%21
Penalties per game8.3296.721

When the Buccaneers have the ball

StatTBoffLACdef
Yards per pass attempt4.8307.231
Yards per rush5.134.420
Starting field positionOwn 335Own 3732
EPA per play-0.10128+0.00615
Adj. EPA per play-0.04727-0.01313
Success rate41.1%2644.0%18
Passing EPA per play-0.16530+0.07417
Rushing EPA per play-0.0278-0.07821
CPOE-3.6270.821
Explosive play rate8.6%149.2%26
Points per game22.41827.428
Points per drive2.04212.3623
Red zone TD rate50.0%2960.0%11
3rd down conversion36.3%2334.3%8
Turnovers per game1.67251.5010
Sack rate8.6%294.7%24
Penalties per game7.0118.46

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Chargers and Buccaneers recent results

Los Angeles Chargers

Wk 9vsHouston TexansL22-44
Wk 8@Los Angeles RamsL9-24
Wk 6@Kansas City ChiefsL6-22
Wk 5vsDenver BroncosL17-23
Wk 4@Seattle SeahawksL23-30

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wk 9@Chicago BearsL24-27
Wk 8vsAtlanta FalconsW16-0
Wk 7@Carolina PanthersW43-13
Wk 6vsPittsburgh SteelersL19-26OT
Wk 5@Dallas CowboysW24-16

Players to watch season totals

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Justin HerbertQB · #10144/235, 1,591 yds, 6 TD, 11 INT
  • Omarion HamptonRB · #8102 car, 369 yds, 3 TD
  • Tre HarrisWR · #921 rec, 262 yds, 0 TD
  • Oronde Gadsden IITE · #8619 rec, 172 yds, 1 TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Baker MayfieldQB · #686/142, 922 yds, 3 TD, 4 INT
  • Bucky IrvingRB · #7167 car, 825 yds, 7 TD
  • Emeka EgbukaWR · #231 rec, 278 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris Godwin Jr.WR · #1429 rec, 259 yds, 0 TD

Chargers vs. Buccaneers: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Chargers vs. Buccaneers?
The ratings project Los Angeles Chargers 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25, 42.3 total points.
Who is favored, the Chargers or the Buccaneers?
The ratings make the Buccaneers 7.7-point favorites with a 72% chance to win.
When and where is Chargers vs. Buccaneers?
Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium, the Buccaneers' home field.

More Week 13 predictions

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