PFR

Green Bay Packers vs. New Orleans SaintsWeek 13 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Caesars Superdome · Saints at home

The ratings project Green Bay Packers 26, New Orleans Saints 22 (GB -4.1) and give the Packers a 62% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Packers vs. Saints prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 53
Green Bay Packers

6-3 · No. 12 in the ratings

26
New Orleans Saints

3-5 · No. 24 in the ratings

22
GB 62%Win probability38% NO
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadGB -4.1——
Total47.6——
Win prob.GB 62%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 13 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatGBNO
Record6-33-5
Division4th, NFC N2nd, NFC S
Rating+2.412-3.224
Adj Off23.91122.419
Adj Def21.6925.629
Points per game24.01223.115
Points allowed per game21.21127.027
Playoff odds63%15%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Packers vs. Saints matchup stats season to date

When the Packers have the ball

StatGBoffNOdef
Yards per pass attempt7.086.724
Yards per rush3.2314.827
Starting field positionOwn 326Own 3328
EPA per play+0.0459+0.05624
Adj. EPA per play+0.02910+0.04528
Success rate40.8%2747.1%29
Passing EPA per play+0.2016+0.11422
Rushing EPA per play-0.25531-0.03328
CPOE1.1130.720
Explosive play rate9.2%89.3%27
Points per game24.01227.027
Points per drive2.19152.5328
Red zone TD rate58.1%2262.5%15
3rd down conversion37.8%1847.2%28
Turnovers per game1.22141.2517
Sack rate4.4%87.2%7
Penalties per game8.2267.316

When the Saints have the ball

StatNOoffGBdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6235.43
Yards per rush3.8284.113
Starting field positionOwn 3022Own 296
EPA per play-0.02822-0.0509
Adj. EPA per play-0.02823-0.0327
Success rate42.3%2144.4%19
Passing EPA per play+0.03221-0.0275
Rushing EPA per play-0.14123-0.09216
CPOE-0.219-1.29
Explosive play rate6.2%307.0%8
Points per game23.11521.211
Points per drive2.09201.866
Red zone TD rate69.0%868.6%21
3rd down conversion43.5%741.7%22
Turnovers per game1.75262.112
Sack rate5.5%146.6%10
Penalties per game6.156.128

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Packers and Saints recent results

Green Bay Packers

Wk 9@New England PatriotsW45-27
Wk 8vsCarolina PanthersW27-19
Wk 7@Detroit LionsL17-20
Wk 6vsDallas CowboysW23-13
Wk 5vsChicago BearsW31-7

New Orleans Saints

Wk 9vsCleveland BrownsW23-22OT
Wk 7NPittsburgh SteelersL10-16
Wk 6@New York GiantsW34-27
Wk 5vsMinnesota VikingsL13-23
Wk 4vsAtlanta FalconsL24-45

Players to watch season totals

Green Bay Packers

  • Jordan LoveQB · #10215/341, 2,618 yds, 19 TD, 6 INT
  • MarShawn LloydRB · #3257 car, 149 yds, 2 TD
  • Matthew GoldenWR · #053 rec, 783 yds, 5 TD
  • Christian WatsonWR · #949 rec, 879 yds, 7 TD

New Orleans Saints

  • Tyler ShoughQB · #6204/308, 1,986 yds, 14 TD, 6 INT
  • Kendre MillerRB57 car, 159 yds, 2 TD
  • Chris OlaveWR · #1256 rec, 734 yds, 2 TD
  • Devaughn VeleWR · #1435 rec, 365 yds, 3 TD

Packers vs. Saints: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Packers vs. Saints?
The ratings project Green Bay Packers 26, New Orleans Saints 22, 47.6 total points.
Who is favored, the Packers or the Saints?
The ratings make the Packers 4.1-point favorites with a 62% chance to win.
When and where is Packers vs. Saints?
Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET at Caesars Superdome, the Saints' home field.

More Week 13 predictions

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