PFR

Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta FalconsWeek 13 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Falcons at home

The ratings project Detroit Lions 25, Atlanta Falcons 22 (DET -3.4) and give the Lions a 60% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Lions vs. Falcons prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 55
Detroit Lions

6-2 · No. 9 in the ratings

25
Atlanta Falcons

3-6 · No. 20 in the ratings

22
DET 60%Win probability40% ATL
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadDET -3.4——
Total47.4——
Win prob.DET 60%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 13 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatDETATL
Record6-23-6
Division2nd, NFC N4th, NFC S
Rating+2.89-2.120
Adj Off25.3521.624
Adj Def22.61523.820
Points per game27.8520.923
Points allowed per game23.61724.820
Playoff odds82%13%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Lions vs. Falcons matchup stats season to date

When the Lions have the ball

StatDEToffATLdef
Yards per pass attempt6.9106.114
Yards per rush4.694.623
Starting field positionOwn 328Own 3429
EPA per play+0.1047+0.00014
Adj. EPA per play+0.0506+0.00215
Success rate48.8%344.4%21
Passing EPA per play+0.2374+0.05315
Rushing EPA per play-0.07712-0.08220
CPOE1.4123.425
Explosive play rate10.4%39.2%23
Points per game27.8524.820
Points per drive2.7462.1613
Red zone TD rate64.1%1664.9%17
3rd down conversion37.2%2142.6%24
Turnovers per game0.6321.2218
Sack rate6.1%205.5%18
Penalties per game7.0117.219

When the Falcons have the ball

StatATLoffDETdef
Yards per pass attempt6.1196.116
Yards per rush4.944.316
Starting field positionOwn 2832Own 282
EPA per play-0.06124+0.08630
Adj. EPA per play-0.03124+0.02422
Success rate43.6%1544.4%20
Passing EPA per play-0.10328+0.17527
Rushing EPA per play-0.0085-0.11512
CPOE-6.5323.527
Explosive play rate8.6%159.5%29
Points per game20.92323.617
Points per drive2.5482.3320
Red zone TD rate62.5%1968.6%21
3rd down conversion34.9%2744.4%27
Turnovers per game1.78271.0024
Sack rate5.2%127.1%8
Penalties per game6.786.523

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Lions and Falcons recent results

Detroit Lions

Wk 9@Miami DolphinsW19-9
Wk 8vsMinnesota VikingsW19-15
Wk 7vsGreen Bay PackersW20-17
Wk 5@Arizona CardinalsW45-21
Wk 4@Carolina PanthersL26-32

Atlanta Falcons

Wk 9NCincinnati BengalsL17-34
Wk 8@Tampa Bay BuccaneersL0-16
Wk 7vsSan Francisco 49ersW29-20
Wk 6vsChicago BearsL23-31
Wk 5vsBaltimore RavensL23-30OT

Players to watch season totals

Detroit Lions

  • Jared GoffQB · #16185/273, 2,134 yds, 15 TD, 2 INT
  • Jahmyr GibbsRB · #0177 car, 847 yds, 9 TD
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · #1461 rec, 657 yds, 5 TD
  • Sam LaPortaTE · #8735 rec, 399 yds, 3 TD

Atlanta Falcons

  • Michael Penix Jr.QB · #9124/199, 1,444 yds, 10 TD, 6 INT
  • Bijan RobinsonRB · #7169 car, 880 yds, 5 TD
  • Drake LondonWR · #544 rec, 692 yds, 1 TD
  • Kyle PittsTE · #825 rec, 220 yds, 4 TD

Lions vs. Falcons: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Lions vs. Falcons?
The ratings project Detroit Lions 25, Atlanta Falcons 22, 47.4 total points.
Who is favored, the Lions or the Falcons?
The ratings make the Lions 3.4-point favorites with a 60% chance to win.
When and where is Lions vs. Falcons?
Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Falcons' home field.

More Week 13 predictions

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