PFR

Miami Dolphins vs. Denver BroncosWeek 13 Prediction, Odds and Spread

Empower Field at Mile High · Broncos at home

The ratings project Denver Broncos 25, Miami Dolphins 17 (DEN -8.6) and give the Broncos a 74% chance to win. No market line is posted yet.

Dolphins vs. Broncos prediction: score, spread and over/under

Projected scoreThrill 18
Miami Dolphins

1-7 · No. 29 in the ratings

17
Denver Broncos

7-2 · No. 11 in the ratings

25
MIA 26%Win probability74% DEN
vs. marketModelMarketDiff
SpreadDEN -8.6——
Total41.8——
Win prob.DEN 74%——
Moneyline——

No market line is posted for this game yet. Spreads name the favorite. For information only, not betting advice. All Week 13 lines · How the projections work

Tale of the tape season to date

StatMIADEN
Record1-77-2
Division4th, AFC E1st, AFC W
Rating-4.629+2.511
Adj Off19.33223.515
Adj Def23.92121.07
Points per game15.83122.020
Points allowed per game25.02420.710
Playoff odds0%96%

Rank out of 32 teams. Rating is the expected margin against an average team on a neutral field.

Dolphins vs. Broncos matchup stats season to date

When the Dolphins have the ball

StatMIAoffDENdef
Yards per pass attempt5.7225.76
Yards per rush4.4134.624
Starting field positionOwn 2831Own 284
EPA per play-0.06726-0.00913
Adj. EPA per play-0.04326-0.01712
Success rate39.2%2941.8%9
Passing EPA per play-0.01524+0.01310
Rushing EPA per play-0.14122-0.04726
CPOE-4.630-0.417
Explosive play rate8.0%178.0%13
Points per game15.83120.710
Points per drive1.70281.928
Red zone TD rate54.2%2655.6%9
3rd down conversion41.6%1041.2%21
Turnovers per game1.25161.4414
Sack rate8.6%306.4%12
Penalties per game7.5198.19

When the Broncos have the ball

StatDENoffMIAdef
Yards per pass attempt5.6247.332
Yards per rush3.9274.214
Starting field positionOwn 3019Own 3731
EPA per play+0.01315+0.11132
Adj. EPA per play+0.02112+0.05231
Success rate40.5%2848.4%32
Passing EPA per play+0.08516+0.25531
Rushing EPA per play-0.09916-0.06922
CPOE-1.12410.832
Explosive play rate6.5%298.8%19
Points per game22.02025.024
Points per drive2.01232.7432
Red zone TD rate64.5%1462.9%16
3rd down conversion32.4%3247.4%29
Turnovers per game0.6730.8829
Sack rate3.2%34.5%29
Penalties per game7.7217.316

Regular season only, rank out of 32. Green is good for the unit in that column, red is bad. The defense column is what that defense has allowed.

Dolphins and Broncos recent results

Miami Dolphins

Wk 9vsDetroit LionsL9-19
Wk 8vsNew England PatriotsL19-24
Wk 7@New York JetsW28-25
Wk 5vsCincinnati BengalsL24-31
Wk 4@Minnesota VikingsL10-15

Denver Broncos

Wk 9@Carolina PanthersW26-21
Wk 8vsKansas City ChiefsW28-24
Wk 7@Arizona CardinalsW30-16
Wk 6vsSeattle SeahawksW17-14OT
Wk 5@Los Angeles ChargersW23-17

Players to watch season totals

Miami Dolphins

  • Malik WillisQB · #2121/208, 1,396 yds, 6 TD, 6 INT
  • Ollie Gordon IIRB · #0107 car, 463 yds, 4 TD
  • Malik WashingtonWR · #633 rec, 350 yds, 1 TD
  • Greg DulcichTE · #8524 rec, 270 yds, 0 TD

Denver Broncos

  • Bo NixQB · #10174/287, 1,730 yds, 11 TD, 4 INT
  • J.K. DobbinsRB · #2798 car, 324 yds, 3 TD
  • Jaylen WaddleWR · #1730 rec, 337 yds, 2 TD
  • Courtland SuttonWR · #1425 rec, 266 yds, 2 TD

Dolphins vs. Broncos: quick answers

What is the predicted score of Dolphins vs. Broncos?
The ratings project Miami Dolphins 17, Denver Broncos 25, 41.8 total points.
Who is favored, the Dolphins or the Broncos?
The ratings make the Broncos 8.6-point favorites with a 74% chance to win.
When and where is Dolphins vs. Broncos?
Sun, Dec 6 · 4:05 PM ET at Empower Field at Mile High, the Broncos' home field.

More Week 13 predictions

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